Thursday 22 April 2010

The UK General Election

Of course in 2 weeks we have a great test of all predictions, however arrived at.

At the bottom of this blog is a summary of opinion polls and betting odds, which are 2 ways of predicting. The opinion polls suggest that no party will have an overall majority, and that it'll up to the politicians to form a coalition. Of course opinion polls change by the day.The betting odds say much the same thing -- the shortest odds by far is on no overall majority.

Its interesting to see how many astrologers are prepared to stick their necks out and make a clear prediction. Here are some:

"Gordon Brown will defeat David Cameron in this year’s General Election" in http://astrotabletalk.blogspot.com/2010/03/why-gordon-brown-will-beat-david.html

http://http//www.journalofastrology.com/article.php?article_id=285

"The next government is a Lib-Con coalition". This is a very interesting forum in a which a number of views are expressed, of which this is the most common. One of the posters suggest that PM Cameron will call an early election this summer! http://www.skyscript.co.uk/forums/viewtopic.php?t=5267&start=15&postdays=0&postorder=asc&highlight=&sid=69cdb2d7041a2cb0db7aedcf05955bc0

"David Cameron will be the next Prime Minister of Great Britain". http://blairrobertson.com/blog/blair-robertson-predictions-next-british-prime-minister-maple-syrup-and-republicans-advance/

"Gordon Brown – cheerio. David Cameron – could do well, although it will be a difficult time for him. Nick Clegg – will come out of this election very well. Probable result: in the statistically unlikely event of a hung parliament, there will be a Conservative / Liberal Democrat coalition – this will see Clegg rewarded with a senior Cabinet post." http://solascendans.com/2010/04/06/alex-general-election-2010-forecast/

An admittedly unscientific sampling reflects the same view as the polls -- a hung parliament and then a Lib - Con coalition. Since the polls will chane over the next weeks but the stars won't, it'll be interesting to see how clever these forecasts look in 2 weeks.

It might also be interesting to note the poor results of trying to predict the previous General Election: www.strudel.org.uk/blog/astro/000224.shtml

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