UK General Election -- wrap-up

I thought I would give it a few weeks and then try to assess the election.

1. Here was an event that would have a well-defined outcome, and therefore provided a good test of predictions.

2. Astrologers' predictions seemed to be all over the show. Many were accurate and many were wrong.

3. One obvious conclusion is that astrology is not repeatable, i.e. not all astrologers will get to the same prediction. This doesn't mean that astrological predictions are worthless (although they might be), but at best it means that astrology is at a partly formalised stage where outputs are highly dependent on the practitioner -- perhaps where medicine was in the Middle Ages? I don't think this is just a matter of experience, otherwise senior members of the associations would get better results than they appear to.

I am still intrigued by the number of cases where a prediction identifies an area in which something will happen, without necessarily getting the exact prediction right.

In the mean time its interesting that we're not seeing much by way of predictions for sporting events such as the football World Cup -- perhaps the people who know what will happen are keeping their predictions to themselves and betting on the outcome? But if they did, it would move the odds, which would be visible for all to see.