Wednesday 31 March 2010

Career developments in the week starting 15th March

I've waited a fortnight before starting to write this post as I wanted to let the dust settle a little.

Ever since the previous post on falsifiability I've checked the horoscopes I follow for another unambigious prediction. While this is just a bit of fun (for me anyway), I suppose doing it even half properly means I have to test all predictions of my chosen subset of forecasts.

Here is how the week of the 15th stacked up from a career point of view (predictions from different astrologers):

1. Unexpected developments in general:

During this eventful week you''ll be dealing with frequent, exciting and often unexpected developments and, occasionally, pressing decisions.

2. Good career developments in that week

You have that critical new moon on March 15, so circle it on your calendar - it's your red letter day. From then on, you'll start to see career opportunities fall from the sky, as if you had poked a pinata.
. . .
The moon is the natural ruler of your solar second house of income, so with the new moon ensuring you a high profile position, you will get a chance to make a profit from a career promotion, new job offer or special assignment, or speaking engagement. This will occur in the second half of March, after the new moon appears, March 15. Your dividends will accrue from the career reputation you have already built.


3. Unexpected development on 17th March (probably good but might be bad)

On March 17, a Wednesday, the Sun will conjoin Uranus and again news will come out of the blue. Hopefully it will be really good news, but even if it isn't (that would only happen if there are things in your chart I can't see from here), the news will work to protect you. Still, I think news will make you happy because you have Jupiter in your career house protecting you so fiercely.

For the 2 Gemini in the sample (one born in each hemisphere) this happened to be an important career week. Gemini A went for a job interview on the 17th March and didn't get the job. Gemini B was, quite out of the blue, told on the 17th March that he was no longer required.

So the predictions score:
1 - true for B. Not clear that it has meaning for A, or at least not in the context of jobs (there might have been other exciting and unexpected developments.
2 - not true for either. Today ends the second half of March and it hasn't [so far] brought anything good in the career line.
3 - true for B in the sense that there was unexpected career news, but wrong on the [qualified] statement that it would be good.

The interpretation is harder. I would think that (1) might have struck a lucky hit with a very general prediction that applied to one life and not another, and could probably be made to fit many people most weeks. (2) and (3) are harder to interpret, not least because they come from the same astrologer, who clearly picked the importance of career that week and day but mistook it for good news, with just a tiny qualification.

You can perhaps see why I had to ponder it for 2 weeks.

Sunday 14 March 2010

So what happened on Thursday and last week?

The post below indicates that last week was supposed to be a big deal for me. Two predictions rose above the all-too-frequent vagueness that characterises horoscopes. Lets see how they turned out:
You should find that things have changed in a big way by the end of the day -- most likely for the better! Your energy is definitely in sync with the rest of the world, so keep on pushing
Partly true. There was a good and expected development on Thursday, as I finished a review of a black hole in my business and found more profit. At about 6% of the annual profit target it was welcome but not a massive deal. Perhaps a better argument for the prediction is that the development below was called correctly but the timing was a little wrong, as it happened even before Thursday started in New Zealand, where all days start.

The other forecast was about the whole week:
It’s unclear whether it’s your own idea, something you overheard or an offer. Or all of these. What is sure is that Monday’s encounter between your ruler Mercury and the expansive Jupiter brings life-changing events. Knowing that, show interest in absolutely everything, knowing plans can be slimmed down later. Similarly, when certain well-meaning individuals advise caution, smile enigmatically and ignore them. If ever there was a time to take chances, it’s now.
There are lots of big things in the air of my life, as there are probably in everybody's. But on Tuesday night I had news of a life changing event I don't feel like describing here yet -- just take my word for it.

A good week for the forecasters but not a conclusion -- one data point proves nothing. Lets keep looking.

Wednesday 10 March 2010

Falsifiable Thursday

Here is a very clear prediction from astrology.com for me for Thursday:
You should find that things have changed in a big way by the end of the day -- most likely for the better! Your energy is definitely in sync with the rest of the world, so keep on pushing.
I don't quite know when their Thursday is -- if the forecast is meant to cover the USA then it extends 8 hours into what we in the UK would call Friday. But in any case I'll be checking by Friday lunchtime whether things have changed a lot (and hopefully for the better!)

This might be a good test of predictions, as the theme of big change for Gemini is also on other forecasts -- here is what Shelly von Strunckel says about this week:

It’s unclear whether it’s your own idea, something you overheard or an offer. Or all of these. What is sure is that Monday’s encounter between your ruler Mercury and the expansive Jupiter brings life-changing events. Knowing that, show interest in absolutely everything, knowing plans can be slimmed down later. Similarly, when certain well-meaning individuals advise caution, smile enigmatically and ignore them. If ever there was a time to take chances, it’s now.