The UK General Election

Of course in 2 weeks we have a great test of all predictions, however arrived at.

At the bottom of this blog is a summary of opinion polls and betting odds, which are 2 ways of predicting. The opinion polls suggest that no party will have an overall majority, and that it'll up to the politicians to form a coalition. Of course opinion polls change by the day.The betting odds say much the same thing -- the shortest odds by far is on no overall majority.

Its interesting to see how many astrologers are prepared to stick their necks out and make a clear prediction. Here are some:

"Gordon Brown will defeat David Cameron in this year’s General Election" in http://astrotabletalk.blogspot.com/2010/03/why-gordon-brown-will-beat-david.html

http://http//www.journalofastrology.com/article.php?article_id=285

"The next government is a Lib-Con coalition". This is a very interesting forum in a which a number of views are expressed, of which this is the most common. One of the posters suggest that PM Cameron will call an early election this summer! http://www.skyscript.co.uk/forums/viewtopic.php?t=5267&start=15&postdays=0&postorder=asc&highlight=&sid=69cdb2d7041a2cb0db7aedcf05955bc0

"David Cameron will be the next Prime Minister of Great Britain". http://blairrobertson.com/blog/blair-robertson-predictions-next-british-prime-minister-maple-syrup-and-republicans-advance/

"Gordon Brown – cheerio. David Cameron – could do well, although it will be a difficult time for him. Nick Clegg – will come out of this election very well. Probable result: in the statistically unlikely event of a hung parliament, there will be a Conservative / Liberal Democrat coalition – this will see Clegg rewarded with a senior Cabinet post." http://solascendans.com/2010/04/06/alex-general-election-2010-forecast/

An admittedly unscientific sampling reflects the same view as the polls -- a hung parliament and then a Lib - Con coalition. Since the polls will chane over the next weeks but the stars won't, it'll be interesting to see how clever these forecasts look in 2 weeks.

It might also be interesting to note the poor results of trying to predict the previous General Election: www.strudel.org.uk/blog/astro/000224.shtml

Small things and large

Last Saturday I got a call from a credit card company because I hadn't paid them. Most unlike me. We'd had some friends stay over the previous weekend and they stayed in the room that is normally my office; we had tidied it up and not moved everything back yet. The Credit Card statement was in a pile of papers that had been moved . . . you get the picture.

My prediction for that day:

After the past few busy weeks, your filing system has totally fallen apart. Are you sick of hunting around for files, losing important emails and missing meetings? It's the perfect day to get reorganized and back on track.

Spot on. I guess it also shows that not all predictions, whether true or false, are about very important matters (this was not a large amount and easily paid).